Description

Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Have an effect on of the Highly Fantastic shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and make the most of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers let us know about probability? Why will have to you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their Have an effect on is huge; they are unattainable to predict; yet after they happen we at all times try to rationalize them., ‘Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday ‘He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent ‘Funny, quirky and thought-provoking … confirms his status as a guru for each would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot’ John Cornwell, Sunday Times ‘Idiosyncratically brilliant’ Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph ‘Great fun …, brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling’ Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Writer of Freakonomics
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